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NCAA D1 Cross Country Regional Projections: Which Men’s Teams Will Qualify For Madison?

By Chris Chavez

November 14, 2024

The 2024 NCAA Division I cross country regionals will take place on Friday, November 15. On The CITIUS MAG Podcast, Chris Chavez and cross country guru Isaac Wood broke down their predictions and projections for which schools will advance to next week’s NCAA Cross Country Championships in Madison, Wisconsin.

How to qualify for the NCAA Cross Country Championships

Throughout the country, there will be nine regionals contested. The top two teams receive automatic bids to the NCAA Championships. If a team finishes third or worse, they will have to rely on the NCAA Committee to select it as one of the 13 at-large teams. The Key factors weighed by the Committee include regular season points and specifically wins against teams that have already qualified or earned a championship berth.

The first four regional finishers not from an automatic qualifying or at-large team also secure an auto-bid to the championships.

All final qualifiers will be confirmed at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, Nov. 16 on NCAA.com

Here’s how Isaac Wood projects the men’s regionals shaking out:

Great Lakes | 12 p.m. ET | Live Results

1. Notre Dame (Q)

2. Wisconsin (Q)

3. Butler (q)

4. Michigan State (q)

5. Michigan (q)

6. Indiana

7. Purdue

8. Ohio State

9. Cincinnati

10. Toledo

11. Miami (Ohio)

12. Youngstown St

13. Eastern Michigan

14. IU Indianapolis

15. Oakland

Mid-Atlantic Region | 1:00 p.m. ET | Live Results

1. Villanova (Q)

2. Princeton (Q)

3. Georgetown

4. Navy

5. Penn

6. Penn State

7. Pittsburgh

8. Lehigh

9. Bucknell

10. George Washington

11. La Salle

12. Temple

13. American

14. Saint Joseph (Conn.)

15. Monmouth

Midwest | 1:00 p.m. ET | Live Results

1. Oklahoma State (Q)

2. Iowa State (Q)

3. Tulsa

4. Loyola (Ill.)

5. Missouri

6. Minnesota

7. Illinois

8. South Dakota St.

9. Bradley

10. Kansas

11. Illinois State

12. Oklahoma

13. Drake

14. Iowa

15. North Dakota State

Isaac’s Take: Tulsa is a bubble team. Right now, I don’t have them in but they’re going to need some love and the cards to fall their way in some of these other regions by some of the teams that they’ve beaten this season.

OSU Cross Country MenOSU Cross Country Men

Courtesy OSU Athletics

Mountain Region | 3:00 p.m. ET | Live Results

1. BYU (Q)

2. New Mexico (Q)

3. Northern Arizona (q)

4. Texas Tech (q)

5. Colorado (q)

6. Wyoming (q)

7. Utah State (q)

8. Montana State

9. Colorado St.

10. Air Force

11. Weber State

12. Southern Utah

13. Utah Valley

14. Nevada

15. New Mexico St.

Isaac’s Take: I have Colorado State as the first one out right now. Colorado State would get in if they beat Utah State or Wyoming. Those three can be considered bubble teams. There are actually probably about nine teams good enough to make it to NCAAs from here.

BYU Cross Country MenBYU Cross Country Men

Courtesy BYU Athletics

Northeast Region | 12:00 p.m. ET | Live Results

1. Harvard (Q)

2. Syracuse (Q)

3. Iona

4. Cornell

5. Yale

6. Providence

7. Columbia

8. UMass Amherst

9. Army West Point

10. UMass Lowell

11. Stony Brook

12. Boston College

13. Boston University

14. Central Connecticut

15. Buffalo

Isaac’s Take: This is another tough one. I have Iona as a bubble team and third in that race. If they get third, they’re out. They have to get top two. If Iona gets in the top two, the Northeast will get three teams into NCAAs, which causes a bit of a mess with the Kolas points. Iona is a “bid-stealer.” If they can get that auto-qualifier, they’d push either Harvard or Syracuse down into third but all of them would make it. Maybe one of the Mountain Region, Great Lakes or Southeast schools ends up out. Watch Iona closely.

South Region | 9:30 a.m. ET | Live Results

1. Alabama (Q)

2. Florida State (Q)

3. Ole Miss

4. Tennessee

5. Auburn

6. Georgia Tech

7. North Florida

8. Belmont

9. Lipscomb

10. Mid. Tenn. State

11. Georgia

12. Florida

13. Vanderbilt

14. Jacksonville St.

15. Kennesaw State

Isaac’s Take: I think Florida State running at home is going to help them a lot.

South Central Region | 11:00 a.m. ET | Live Results

1. Arkansas (Q)

2. Tulane (Q)

3. Texas

4. Texas A&M

5. TCU

6. Incarnate Word

7. Stephen F. Austin

8. Arkansas State

9. Sam Houston

10. Houston Christian

11. Tarleton State

12. North Texas

13. Texas A&M-CC

14. Abilene Christian

15. Rice

Southeast Region | 11:30 a.m. ET | Live Results

1. North Carolina (Q)

2. Wake Forest (Q)

3. Virginia (q)

4. Eastern Kentucky (q)

5. Virginia Tech (q)

6. Furman (q)

7. NC State

8. Kentucky

9. Liberty

10. Duke

11. App State

12. Louisville

13. Norfolk State

14. William & Mary

15. Charlotte

Isaac’s Take: I have Virginia Tech sneaking into NCAAs by beating Furman. I don’t love that pick because I could also see Virginia Tech finishing sixth. If they have a good day, they can get a push. They might be paying attention to how well Iona, Colorado State or Tulsa runs.

Wake Forest Cross Country MenWake Forest Cross Country Men

Courtesy Wake Forest Athletics

West Region | 3:00 p.m. ET | Live Results

1. Stanford (Q)

2. Washington (Q)

3. CBU (q)

4. Portland

5. Oregon

6. Gonzaga

7. Boise State

8. Cal Poly

9. Washington St.

10. California

11. Cal St. Fullerton

12. UC Davis

13. UC Irvine

14. UC San Diego

15. UC Riverside

Isaac’s Take: Oregon has to get third at minimum and Cal Baptist has to get fourth. Portland has no points. Think about that! That’s a great team. Portland has to win or get second to get into NCAAs – unless they get third and Cal Baptist gets fourth. If that’s the case, then Oregon is probably fifth and they’re out. Cal Baptist can break a lot of hearts by getting third behind Stanford and Washington. There would be some pretty good teams being left at home.

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Chris Chavez

Chris Chavez launched CITIUS MAG in 2016 as a passion project while working full-time for Sports Illustrated. He covered the 2016 Olympics in Rio de Janeiro and grew his humble blog into a multi-pronged media company. He completed all six World Marathon Majors and is an aspiring sub-five-minute miler.