Back in March, the CITIUS MAG team offered some bold predictions for the 2025 track season. Some were right, others were way off, and others proved weirdly complicated to unpack.

So with the season mostly in the books, let’s take a look at our track (sorry) record:

Noah Lyles will run the 400m at 2025 USA Championships. Anderson Emerole

Well, this couldn’t have been more wrong—but let’s give Anderson a little benefit of the doubt here. Lyles did open up his season with a 400m at the Tom Jones Invitational in April and had previously expressed a desire to run on both the 4x100m and 4x400m at championships, but the 100m Olympic champ did pick up a mid-season injury that impacted his racing schedule. It’s possible that a fully-healthy Lyles would’ve approached USAs differently if it hadn’t been only his third race back.

Jakob Ingebrigsten will finally get his World 1500m outdoor title. Paul Snyder

Again, the one thing we didn’t predict back in March was a bunch of injuries to big stars—if for no other reason than it would be mean to wish ill health on anyone. Ingebrigtsen did contest the 1500m and 5000m at Worlds but didn’t look remotely like himself, as an Achilles injury pretty much wrote off the whole outdoor season and set him too far back to truly contend. The Norwegian megastar deserves a lot of credit regardless for showing up to race, when he had to have known that he wasn’t going to perform up to his usual caliber.

The men’s 1500m at Worlds will be won by a first-time global champion. David Melly

David’s been crowing about this one from pretty much the moment Isaac Nader crossed the line—but was it really a “bold” prediction? For the eighth championship in a row, the men’s 1500m winner was a first-time champion, so in some ways, this was business as usual, even if Nader’s win was a bit of a surprise.

The women’s marathon world record will fall again. Jasmine Fehr

Hm… was this prediction right or wrong? Technically, Jasmine predicted someone would break Ruth Chepngetich’s 2:09:56, and technically, Chepngetich’s record is still on the books, but she certainly fell from grace after being suspended in July. If you’re in the camp that Chepngetich’s suspension should invalidate her Chicago performance, you could argue that, in fact, the world record “fell” this year. And hey—with two more World Marathon Majors coming up in the next five weeks, ya never know…

Faith Kipyegon will not win the 1500m gold medal in Tokyo. Preet Majithia

Serves Preet right for betting against the GOAT, but for the fifth straight championship in a row, Kipyegon was golden.

Ryan Crouser and Ethan Katzberg will be the only 2024 throwing champions to repeat in Tokyo. Paul Hof-Mahoney

Paulie Throws deserves partial credit here, as both Crouser and Katzberg won gold in Tokyo. But he missed Camryn Rogers and Valarie Allman, and frankly we’re shocked Paul didn’t have faith in Val to keep her win streak going.

The influx of trackfluencers picks up pace. Audrey Allen

This one is hard to judge one way or the other, but it’s worth noting that the biggest news out of the Berlin Marathon wasn’t Sabastian Sawe or Rosemary Wanjiru’s victories; it was British pop singer Harry Styles’s 2:59:13 run. And everyone’s least favorite runfluencer Matt Choi is still out there causing chaos during road races. But on the bright side, a podcast host won a World Championship this year.

Well, if we’d gone eight for eight, the predictions themselves would probably have not been very bold. And the simple act of looking back through the archives into March just goes to show what a wild roller-coaster of a summer it’s been—who knows what we have in store for next year?!

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